Showing posts with label Storms. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Storms. Show all posts

Thursday, September 28, 2017

We now return you to your regularly scheduled life...

We were lucky...  very, very lucky.

Sunset, Saturday September 9th, two nights before Irma passed over us.
When Hurricane Irma final made her right-hand turn and headed for Florida, she was a strong Category Four storm.  She had just finished a devastating, and I do mean devastating, trip through Barbuda and St Thomas, as well as chewing up Puerto Rico and Cuba.  Now she was setting her sights on us. We had just finished KittenCon V the weekend before. I'd been monitoring the storm, and knew it was something we would have to watch. When the NHC upgraded her to a 175 mph, Category Five storm Tuesday morning, we knew things were about to get serious. 

Edward began taking stock of our hurricane supplies and making a list of all the things we would need to do before the storm got to us. Each item depended on her track, the predictive models and that seat of pants experience of having lived in a hurricane prone region for the last 30 years, or in Edward's case almost his whole life.  

We made the decision early in the week we were staying. Irma was targeting Florida’s east coast, we didn’t expect too bad a storm over here on the Gulf-side of the peninsula.  The worst of the weather would be in the right front quadrant, in this case to the NE of the storm. We would be to the NW, were the winds would be north to south, a good direction for us. 

We didn’t feel rushed. Tuesday evening, we went out for gas and filled the Rav’s tank. We decided not to take the gas jugs. That decision turned fateful, as gas supplies in this area quickly ran out. But by Thursday, it didn’t look like we were going to get any more before the storm got to us. I speculated that it was a combination of the refineries in Texas being off-line from the impact of Hurricane Harvey two weeks earlier, and the news reports from St Thomas beginning to get through. People were taking this storm very seriously. That was both the good news and the bad.

As the week progressed things looked grimmer. With each day, the track nudged further westward until Irma was pointed solidly at us. Edward has a mantra: if the storm is pointed at you 5-days out you’re probably fine. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't and sometimes it doesn't matter. Edward’s list grew larger. He kept adding things that needed to be done, assigning a day for the decision to execute, or stand down, for each one. But there was no standing down. Irma was as determined to pay us a visit as we were to be ready for her. 

Irma Comin’!  

This time of year, we let the stock in our freezers get low. Should we get a storm, we wouldn't have that much to lose if the power was out for an extended period of time. We keep a stock of empty juice bottles in the garage rather than buying bottled water or special containers. The smaller 1.5 liter bottles are a perfect size to freeze, giving us both ice, and later, water. We started freezing those bottles, two at a time, on Tuesday. It takes about 24 hours to freeze a 1.5 jug of water. The ice maker was already going. That takes about 48 hours to make a 2 gallon ziplock bag of ice cubes. 

In 2004 when Ivan set his sights on us, we bought plywood for the windows. Ivan was the third storm of four that would threaten Florida that year. I'd been to a number of hurricane conferences and seen many of the products available for protection from wind driven debris. One product, PlyLox, seemed perfect for us. They required no drilling when installing the boards. It wasn’t until Jeanne threatened the state 2 weeks later that we measured the sills, cut our boards, and covered the windows. We stored those boards in the garage in anticipation of future storms. In 2008 we had new windows installed, windows that were rated for hurricane force winds. Two years ago we considered getting rid of that plywood. But no, we thought, if we get a Category Three storm we'll likely put them up. They'd be extra protection for the windows themselves, while the strength of the widows were what would protect the house. Irma was looking more and more like she was going to make us very glad we still had those boards. 

On Friday morning I took the gas jugs with me on my way to work. There was a chance there would be gas available. The first place I stopped had signs taped to their pumps, but people seemed to be getting gas. Instead of saying they were out, the signs read they only had “regular". Works for me. I filled the two 5.5 gallon jugs after topping off the Rav’s tank. Now we had extra gas.

"We’re Screwed"

On Saturday morning the models could not have been worse. Irma was staying stubbornly pointed right at us. The predicted track would place the storm directly over us at 2:00 am Monday morning. She was expected to swing a little westward and thus stay strong over the Gulf, before making landfall just south of us. A landfall which would not weaken her much before getting here. Winds were expected to be between 130–155 mph. 

By Saturday afternoon we are almost ready. We were finished, save the last few boards and the sliding glass door. We still weren't sure what we were going to do there, we had a few ideas, but nothing definitive. We filled the three liter juice bottles and we set them on the counter to wait for the storm. We’d photographed the house, inside and out, and laid out each account statement so we would have pictures with all the important numbers if we needed them after the storm. The computers had already been back up and shut down, with the hard drives in ziplocks in a Go-Bag. I even went through my jewelry box, picking out those pieces I didn't want to live without. We got out all the flashlights, lanterns and batteries and set them were we could get to them easily. All of the outside furniture and plants had been moved into the garage. Edward had the cooler set out and ready to be stocked before we lost power. There wasn’t much more to do.

Mike called about mid afternoon. He wanted to let us know he was still several hours away from finishing his preparations, but he'd be over later that night, as his evacuation zone was required to be out by that evening. 

We had two options for what it do next. Nap or go help. It really wasn't a question, and we descended on Mike and Julie with work cloths on and work gloves in hand. We didn't even warn them we were coming, we just showed up. They were working on covering their front windows. The rest of the house already had metal shutters installed. Mike was cutting 3/4 inch plywood with a small circular saw that wasn't quite up to the task. So I went back to the house to get our saw, while Edward and Mike finished up the master bath window. Julie moved inside to finish packing what she needed to go stay with her mother. It didn’t take too much longer to cover the last windows, and from a piece of Mike's scrap shutter track we found the solution for our sliding glass doors. When Mike arrived that night, he helped us get the doors covered. We were done and about a ready as we could be.

With the house secure on Sunday there wasn't much to do but wait. We cooked the last of our eggs for breakfast and about noon we made a spaghetti dinner. We figured we'd loose power about 6:00 pm so eating early was a better plan. I walked the neighborhood mid-afternoon in a light rain. Irma had already made landfall at Marco Island as a Category Three storm. It was breezy, but the storm was still several hundred miles south. The world was eerily quite, save a few brave souls venturing out, or finishing preparations.

The lights began to flicker around 8:00 pm. Edward turned the AC off about 9-9:30 pm after having turned it down earlier in the day. At one point we were betting on when we would loose power. Our friends on Facebook even got in the game. We all made sure that everything had a place. No point in trying to find that important item you'd misplaced in the dark. The lights finally went out at 11:30 pm.  I remember many, many times in the past as lights go out, being plunged into complete darkness, our eyes used to bright lights. We all had flash lights at hand, but as I looked up, I could see Mike and Edward do the same, each lit by their device of choice.   

From there the wind only got stronger. We have four large oaks in front, seven pines, and various smaller varieties in the rest of the yard. We couldn't seen them bend with the wind. We couldn't see anything. But there was one big difference in this storm. We had cellular contact with the rest of the world. We watched the radar, checked the models, and texted our very own hurricane expert during the night. We could track the eye of the storm as she moved northward. Irma had stayed inland after landfall, but she was still strong and dangerous.

It was during the height of the storm that Mara decided to make an appearance. She had been under the bed the entire day. At about midnight she came out, settling on the table between the three of us. A little while later she wandered over to the sliding glass doors and wanted to be let out on the porch, as if nothing much more then a summer thunderstorm was raging outside. 

By 1:00 am the eye of the storm was nearly due east of us. She was weaker than the early Sunday morning predictions had estimated she’d be when she got here. She was a weak Category Two, or strong Category One. We debated the location of her eye, and I thought we were getting some of the eye wall winds. But most of the rain was out in front of the storm, making the exact center hard to pinpoint. The strong winds still were coming in bursts, but Edward was considering giving up and going to bed when came the text from across town.  "Big tree in front uprooted and landed on the garage - came through roof". Everyone was ok, including their neighbor, whose house also took it worse than their garage. Amazingly, they still had lights. We were all wide awake again and we were going to be up for a while longer.

We finally gave up around 2-2:30 am.  We all slept in our cloths that night, in case we needed to get up in a hurry.

Daybreak

Dawn was about an hour away when we got up. We went out the garage door and inspected the yard. There were tons of tiny branches down, but only a few big ones. We could see there was no damage to, and no branches on, the roof. All our trees were upright. It was breezy with a light rain. The worst of the storm had passed.

We went back inside and got something to eat while it started to get light. We took down the shutters on the front door and then went for a walk. That's when we saw the tree down about 200 ft south of us, a 50 ft sycamore lying on its side. It had fallen away from the house and the cars had been parked away from the driveway. The only thing it hit was the road.

We checked Heather and Trent's house then walked down to the front of the neighborhood to check on the roads. People were already out and driving even though the curfew had not yet been lifted. Many people were out checking their property. Most called greetings and asked if everything was OK. Most folks had come through just fine. Mike’s house was fine too, only having lost a few shingles and having a small tree blow over.

In the end, we came through the storm without any damage. We spent two mornings cleaning up the yard and an afternoon cutting up the small tree that blew over in Mike's yard. We were only without power for 4.5 days. Others in the county got their power back 7 or 10 days later. We didn't loose food, thanks to Mike's loan of the generator after his power was restored.  

Others were not as lucky, like our friend with the crushed garage, or my colleague with a branch through her roof.  

Edward did more work than I did both in prep and cleanup. He also got to sit at home after the storm with no AC, tending the generator. He deserves a medal for that. I went back to work on Wednesday, where there was power and AC.

Things could have been much worse. A few days after the storm we drove through the park behind the house. Park personnel were clearing a section of the trail of debris. As we drove by, we noticed several large pine trees had been snapped off 6-12 feet above the ground. The only thing that does that are severe straight-line winds, or a tornado. Those could have been our trees. That could have been our yard. They could have landed on our roof.

Irma is a storm that will go into the history books. She was one of three Category Four or stronger storms to make landfall in the US and its territories in the same year, something that’s never happened before. As we watched Irma approach we couldn’t help be think back to another 2004 hurricane. Charley had moved into the Gulf as a Category Two storm before explosively intensifying to a Category Four in just three hours. Charley was also headed right for us. Fortunately for us, he turned inland sooner than predicted, sparing the Tampa Bay area.  In hind site, we were not prepared for Charley. Had he stayed on his predicted course we would have had significant damage. Irma's deviation from her predicted track was subtler, but had a greater effect. By making landfall in Marco Island, rather than Port Charlotte or Madeira Beach, she weakened enough to take away some of her punch. By passing east of us we also avoided some of the heaviest rain and strongest winds. And while we considered ourselves ready for Irma, there is no telling what would have been different if she had maintained full strength out over the Gulf before getting here. To say we we lucky is a bit of on understatement. Yet lucky we were. Things could have been much, much worse.

I don’t think we’ll forget Irma anytime soon. It had been 11 days from the time we started preparing for her arrival to the time we were finished cleaning up and our power was restored. But we weren’t done yet. Edward and I spent the next week accessing what we did right and what could use improvement. Neither of us felt we were unprepared, nor did we feel caught off guard. Even so we decided that now, while we were thinking about it, was a good time to update a few supplies and replace some that failed in order to be ready for the next one, which may not have been long in coming. Maria was already following closely in Irma's tracks and we wanted to be ready in case she, too, determined that Florida was the hot spot to be in the Summer of ’17.


Saturday, August 25, 2012

Storm Watch...


Thunderheads after Hurricane Ike, 
September 15, 2008
  Tropical Storm Isaac.  He won't be so for long.  If the models are right, he'll leave his tour of the northern Cuban coastline, head out into the Gulf and put on a little "weight", in the form of higher winds.  

  By the time he reaches a level latitude with Tampa, he'll be a strong Category 1, heading north.  I am glad he will be offshore.  But it brings back memories of another storm we watched approach along a similar track.  

  Hurricane Charlie.  

  In 2004, we watched Hurricane Charlie approach the bay area.  He crossed Cuba as a category 1 storm and was predicted to run straight north into Tampa Bay.  While a Category 1 storm is nothing to take lightly, it was not too concerning for us.  In the day before he crossed into the Gulf, we made our preparations.  He was not predicted to get much stronger.  We made ice, put away the outside items and covered the windows in a hurricane film that was supposed to keep the windows from breaking completely out if something struck them.  

  We got up on the morning of Aug 13th confident we were ready.  Little did we know what mother nature had in store for us and Charlie that day.

  Charlie turned out to be an unpredictable storm.  What's more, he exhibited a behavior that scientists at the National Hurricane Center still struggle to explain.  Explosive intensification.  In 48 hours Charlie, a weak Category 1, became a monstrous Category 4 headed straight for Tampa.  We were anything but prepared for what was headed our way.  In the end it was only that same unpredictable nature of Charlie that save our skins when he took a turn to the right and made landfall well south of us.  He made landfall within the predicted zone of impact, the infamous cone of uncertainty.  He is the poster child for why you should not focus on the center line and prepare no matter where you are in the cone.   I would expand that to areas near the cone as well.  Models aren't perfect. 

  So now as we sit, watching Isaac work his way though the Caribbean, and across Cuba, my mind wanders back to Charlie.  In hindsight, we were woefully unprepared for what Charlie would have brought to our area.  Our paltry preparations would have not stood much of a chance again the winds Charlie brought ashore.  We got lucky.  

  All the models predict Isaac will continue on his path north.  We are barely out of the track's cone.  But that doesn't mean I'll let my guard down.  I won't relax until he's at least even with Tampa on his trip north.  And even then the story is not over.  Isaac is taking aim on Atlanta, and DragonCon, where we'll spend Labor Day weekend. 

 It seems that we are destined to be under Isaac's influence, not once but twice.    

Sunday, May 15, 2011

We Needed The Rain

Storms move onshore.
A crow caws on the light post.
Protector or trickster, message or omen.
A sign of things to come?

The clouds move over us,
Cats careen from room to room.
Thunder rumbles and lightening flashes.
The sky is only bright to the east.

The wind swirls and blows.
Rain runs from the roof in rivulets.
The birdbath fills and overflows,
Watering newly planted seeds.

The storm passes.
The crow moves on, his job completed.
The message from the gods:
No tricks today.

The western sky brightens.
The dark clouds retreat to the east.
I like crows.
We needed the rain.

Thursday, September 24, 2009

Lemon Light...


There was a storm approaching.... The radar was showing bright red just east of us. About 30 minutes ago it started rumbling, quietly at first, then progressively louder. The sun was also setting, and as it did, it got below the edge of the clouds to the west and the whole sky lit up with lemon yellow light. Beautiful and erie at the same time. Greens became richer or darker, depending on the tree or plant or grass. The cedar took on a rich, dark green hue.

I wandered out to the end of the driveway to watch the sky. Off to the east, in the direction of the approaching storm, low scud clouds were standing out against their darker comrades as they raced west. Lightning began to stand out against the darkening sky. The rumbles got louder. From the east, the winds picked up, carrying the telltale signs of approaching rain. Cooler temperatures and the feeling of more moisture in the air. It was time to retreat to the front patio.

The sky began to fade. But then, the sky turned orange. The greens became muted, and the lightning more frequent. It was starting to rain.

I retreated into the house to watch the rest of the storm. We sat in the front room with the lights off. The frequent lightning was strong enough to light up the room in the fading light. You could tell the direction the light was coming from, first to the north, then south. Rumbles answered all the flashes. The computer chimed. EmergencyEmail.org reported rainfall rates of two inches an hour in Pinellas. Urban flood advisories were issued.

The storm has passed now. We didn't get the torrential downpour I thought we would. The thunder has quieted, the lightning dimmed. There is still a lot of rain out there. In an hour or so, the storm will have moved offshore. Lightning may still dance across the sky, but the thunder will be too far away to hear. Outside, the side walk is still wet... proof that a storm had passed by.